Thursday 10 January 2013

Race review

Well if I was feeling smug about getting the borderline calls right yesterday, that feeling didn’t last very long…

With hindsight, I should obviously have split stakes on today race at Catterick: I knew that King Fontaine was not guaranteed to run his race – and I’d spent sufficient time on the contest to also know that Chac Du Cadran had a very decent chance.

Of course the rest is history: having travelled well for a circuit, King Fontaine then started to struggle in the holding ground and was eventually pulled up.
Chac Du Cadran meanwhile put up a tremendous effort; jumping from fence to fence and finally seeing off the persistent challenge of Night in Milan.
The winner was 10/1 this morning - but returned a very well backed 11/2 shot.
King Fontaine meanwhile drifted from a best price of 9/1 this morning to 10/1 at the off (14 on BF).
Once again, the market anticipated the outcome…

Even more spectacular, was its reading of the 3:15 race…
Granted there was always the chance that Reasonable Force would drift – but an SP of 25/1 (30+ on BF) positively shouted the likely story long before the tapes went up.
Sure enough, he was settled out the back and was a good 20 lengths a drift of the fourth runner after just 2 fences.
From that point, the gap just grew and he was never sighted with the remotest chance…
Reasonable Force clearly wants a longer trip – but that said, his run today was little more than a public schooling. It will be interesting to see if the official handicapper buys it…

Hopefully tomorrow bring slightly better…

TVB.

No comments:

Post a Comment