Review of the day

Another mixed bag of a day, which resulted in us making a small profit, to offset yesterdays small loss…

On the upside, we’re not losing too much at the moment – however, that’s not really the object of the exercise, and certainly not what I had in mind when I issued today’s tips…

As with yesterday, things initially looked very bright.

Although Classical Mist was pulled up around half way (thereby meaning we had no saver – and all forecasts were down L ), the main tip in the race, Sawpit Supreme, battled on gamely to record a well deserved victory…

When she kicked a few lengths clear after the third last, she looked sure to collect. However, she was then untidy at both the second last and last fence, and on the run-in, she look sure to get collared…

To her credit, she gamely stuck her neck out and battled her way to victory…

Quite surprisingly, she was the third wining drifter that I’ve tipped this month.

This is an unfamiliar phenomenon for me – I’m used to all of my winners being heavily backed.

Maybe it is because I’m tipping a few more at the top of the market – there isn’t a lot of scope for them to shorten further !

That said, I was genuinely staggered to see Sawpit go off at 6/1 on Betfair.
Based on form I couldn’t see how she could possibly be more than a 4/1 shot. If she had run poorly, I would have had something to say !

More generally, the drift in her price illustrates the importance of trying to secure BOG when backing the horses – particularly at the shorter prices.

For the purposes of recording, I will continue to the prices advised in the emails for the P&L (provided they are reasonably easy to obtain).

Hopefully this will mean that a few of you will have a slightly better P&L than is officially stated, at the end of the month…

As is so often the case however, if we could be considered a little fortune with the victory of Sawpit Supreme, the fortune imbalance was swiftly redressed in the very next race…

A little like Sawpit Supreme, Buffalo Bob led from the off and rounding the home turn, had most of the field in trouble.

Approaching the third last, Seigneur Des Bois was the only remaining challenger and on the run to 2 out, it looked as if Bob might be able to fend him off.

However, it was not to be and he was caught on the run to the final obstacle and passed, jumping it…

I guess it was always a possibility – and I have no complaints…

Bob ran exactly the race I expected – and ran to the level of form that he is capable.

He simply bumped into one that had improved massively for a change of stable.

I thought that a near years absence might be too much for Seigneur Des Bois to overcome – but he clearly had a significant amount in hand of his mark.

Somewhat ironically, Seigneur Des Bois has exactly the same connections and has taken exactly the same path, as Sophonie… If only she had performed as he did, when she was a big tip last month..!

The final tip of the day to run, was Miss Kalifa.

She had been very well backed all day – but as I’ve said before, it is the 10 minutes prior to the off, that really count.

And unfortunately, during that period, she was weak – very weak…

She drifted from 4.6 on Betfair out to 7, a few moments before the off – the signs were not good !

Sure enough in the race, she was never travelling with any purposes. She skied a few of the early fences (presumably as a result of her recent exploits over fences) and started to struggle from half way down the back straight on the second circuit.

It didn’t look as if she was enjoying the desperately heavy ground – and she was pulled up before the home straight.

Again, a disappointing end to a day which had started with much promise…

TVB.