Wednesday 19 December 2012

Review of the day

This afternoon at Newbury, Sustainability became the second TVB winner in three days – and gave cause for quiet optimism that the run of poor luck was beginning to turn…

If you take out the speculative EW tips, he also became the fifth tip in the last six to trade odds on – and the eleventh in the last 20…

I don’t care how far you look - and how much you are prepared to pay – you will struggle to find a more consistent tipping than that…

If I was tipping 3/1 shots, then that kind of hit rate would be fair enough – but the average tip is currently more than double that price.

If we can just have a reasonable run of luck, then we really should start making some serious profits - which I can then look to invest on the more ‘exciting’ selections !
Anyway, I guess I shouldn’t be running before I can walk – Sustainability only managed to edge us into the black for the month, so we still have a fair way to go !

Earlier on the Newbury card, the early bird tip, Fabulous Fred, ran very disappointingly.
He was never really in the hunt and it was left to Handy Andy to make light of current stable form and come home a comfortable winner.
He certainly looks like a horse who can continue to progress throughout the season, at trips of 3 miles and further…

In the following race on the card, the subtle signs were close – but not quite close enough – as Veloce ran a really encouraging race to take second behind Poet.
It was amazing to see Poet return with an SP of 3/1 – I fully expected him to go off around even money.
In the race, he hurdled well enough and was able to put his flat speed to use in the closing stages.
On very heavy ground, he will take some beating in novice events over the minimum trip.

Over at Ludlow, the second tip of the day, Don’t Tell Sailor, ran disappointing in the 3m chase. He appeared unable to handle the very heavy conditions and was the first horse beaten.
The race was won by Tour Des Champs, who bounced back from a disappointing run last time out at Newbury.

Earlier on the Ludlow card, Preuty Boy raced prominently but was soon beaten in the novice handicap chase.
He didn’t look like a horse that you would want to follow in the immediate future.

Whilst in the following race, Drumshambo took advantage of the very heavy ground and fast pace, and came through for a comfortable win.
His mark has already been raised 12lb this season - and he can expect another 5 or 6lb for today’s victory. That said, I wouldn’t be confident that his winning streak is going to come to an end just yet..

TVB.

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