Race review

Another frustrating day, when I managed to turn a potential profit into a loss…

As I said in the daily write-up, when I first looked at the Troytown last night, the bet that jumped out at me, was Jadanli – EW.

The mistake I made – and I probably made the same one yesterday, with Monsieur Cadou’s race – was spending too much time looking through all of the runners trying to find different angles..

The trouble with races like today’s – an indeed yesterdays – is that you can over-analyse them. If you are prepared to turn them over and over, trying to find different  angles, then unsurprisingly, different potential selections will fall out and just confuse your thinking.

I think that is precisely what I did on both occasions.

So from now on the mantra is: if the race is complex, keep the analysis simple !!

In the race itself, Zardsky put up a decent showing from the front – but was never going quite as well as fellow front runner, Glenqest. He lasted until the final half mile of the race – but then weakened quite rapidly…

Jadanli was always travelling reasonable well – but just didn’t have the pace to get on terms with the leaders.

That said, he stayed in to good effect down the home straight, to finish an honourable fourth…

Of the other mentions, them The Hard Hat never featured and was eventually pulled up; whilst Romanesco seemed to travel OK – but couldn’t find anything in the closing stages of the contest…

In the first race of the day, it looked like ‘the mentions’ were going to get off to a flyer, as Kashline bore down on Drawn N Drank on the run in.
However, the line came a few yards to soon and Kashline couldn’t quite get up.

Hopefully one or two of you made a little on the EW suggestion, to offset loses on the Troytown.

In the novice hurdle, Thynetocathcer appeared to run a decent race. She was in second place rounding the home turn – but back in fifth as the runners re-appeared from the gloom on the run in.

It looked as if Wing Tips was never able to mount a serous challenge – but visibility was so bad, it was difficult to be sure !

Don Cossack recorded a facile victory in the maiden hurdle – though it told us very little, with him ending up only having one serious rival to beat. His next race will hopefully be a little more informative.

Finally, Alderwood rather bizarrely slipped up on the run, in the novice chase.
In truth he looked held at the time – though in conditions like today’s you can never be completely sure until they have crossed the line…

So, a disappointing return from the mini-break, with just over 5 points dropped since Friday.

The more frustrating aspect for me, is that it could have been 5 points profit, if I had made the right calls.

The consolation, I guess, is that I am still reading the races fine – it’s just the final crystallisation of the tips, that is letting me down (though in fairness, that is often the hardest part).

Rest assured though, I’ll be doing my level best to get things back on an even keel before the month draws to a close on Friday…

TVB.